Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.096904 0.151647 0.216555 0.296499 0.390031 0.494098 0.616901
2025-12-14 0.026573 0.081160 0.164372 0.283436 0.437708 0.622245 0.852355
2025-12-21 0.010016 0.061923 0.158520 0.309541 0.515450 0.769852 1.094384
2025-12-28 0.002566 0.048752 0.155691 0.336078 0.591851 0.915321 1.334527
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.035697 0.146929 0.349970 0.648675 1.034408 1.541181
2026-01-11 NaN 0.031625 0.153289 0.385963 0.735229 1.191225 1.794534
2026-01-18 NaN 0.026194 0.154291 0.412234 0.807648 1.329676 2.025214
2026-01-25 NaN 0.017441 0.142734 0.415501 0.846138 1.423322 2.199577
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006746 0.114968 0.385870 0.833975 1.448412 2.286196
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000854 0.086234 0.347553 0.804717 1.447871 2.338038
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.072636 0.335412 0.813400 1.497269 2.452867
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.068238 0.341939 0.851069 1.586314 2.619044
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.059126 0.337215 0.872356 1.655787 2.764474
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.046657 0.320956 0.873657 1.697218 2.873810
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.050954 0.349442 0.950449 1.845746 3.124642
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.055075 0.377557 1.026817 1.993961 3.375463
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.054493 0.392380 1.080522 2.109973 3.583809
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.062092 0.430586 1.174502 2.283771 3.869141
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.066027 0.458423 1.250815 2.432493 4.121443
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.061489 0.461880 1.285270 2.521451 4.294582
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.046316 0.430489 1.258018 2.521068 4.348347
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.030797 0.389801 1.211153 2.490342 4.360049
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.024305 0.376884 1.212731 2.529286 4.464460